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Not A Coincidence

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I was discussing (via email) this story, Climate scientists withdraw journal claims of rising sea levels with a liberal acquaintance of mine. In fact, he’s more than just a liberal, he’s Communist. With federal pension no less. Anyway, I pointed out this passage from the article,

“In a statement the authors of the paper said: “Since publication of our paper we have become aware of two mistakes which impact the detailed estimation of future sea level rise. This means that we can no longer draw firm conclusions regarding 21st century sea level rise from this study without further work.

“One mistake was a miscalculation; the other was not to allow fully for temperature change over the past 2,000 years. Because of these issues we have retracted the paper and will now invest in the further work needed to correct these mistakes.”

His reply to me consisted mostly of other quotes from the same article, this one in particular,

[Author] Siddall said that he did not know whether the retracted paper’s estimate** of sea level rise was an overestimate or an underestimate…

Which started me to thinking and I came to this realization, which I wrote in my reply.

The point is that the science is not settled in any sense of the word. Also, notice that every error over estimates, not under estimates, the effects of global warming. If it were just sloppy work, you’d expect a random distribution of error. Which in fact would be an argument that it’s just errors, not a concerted effort to “hide the decline” in temperature rise or mask the real data.

Temperature stations that were excluded because they didn’t support the underlying theory. Temperature stations that were NOT excluded because the areas where they were installed 30 years ago have now been built up and artificially raise temperatures. Tree ring data excluded because it shows no unusual warming, one specific tree used as AN ENTIRE DATA SET because it does.

Every revelation undermines the theory of global warming. Even what you quote throws the question back into the “we don’t know” category. Which means that as of now there is not one bit of evidence to support any change in environmental laws.

Until these so called scientists come back with balanced studies and open their data and methodology to full review by their peers no one should believe them when they say they are scientists. They are priests of a pseudo religion, expecting us to change the economic foundation of the western world on faith in their tea leaf reading.

Maybe you’re willing to do that, but most rational people want more than that, they want science.

Which I think sums up the problem with saying that despite all of the data that is now discredited (to say the least) that Global Warming Climate Change is still “settled science”.

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I'm a retired paramedic who formerly worked in a largish city in the Northeast corner of the U.S. In my post EMS life I provide Quality Improvement instruction and consulting under contract. I haven't really retired, I just don't work nights, holidays, or weekends.  I escaped the Northeast a couple of years ago and now live in Texas.  I'm more than just a little opinionated, but that comes with having been around the block more than once. You can email me at EMSArtifact@gmail.com After living most of my life (so far) in the northeast my lovely wife and I have moved to central Texas because we weren't comfortable in the northeast any longer. Life is full of twists and turns.

5 COMMENTS

  1. I read the article you linked to, and could find nothing to buttress the conclusion you came to.In any event I certainly hope the sea level doesn't rise.

  2. Expand your reading Jimmy. Look at the "hockey stick" data, the prediction of the Himalayan glacier melt, the tree ring data, and so on. Every one of those errors was an error in favor of supporting the AGW theory. None of those errors was in support of the no AGW theory. Random distribution of error would dictate that there should be errors in support of both theories. That there is only error in one direction means that someone, or many someones, are cooking the books to favor their pet theories.

  3. I'm afraid that would not be possible. My wife is already commenting on the eight hours a day I currently spend getting up to speed on this and a number of other issues. And let me tell you it is very boring since I go to the source material not some laymans opinion on it. I completely agree with you on random distribution of error, but I don't actually see it happening in this case. I remain open to any and all information which will increase my understanding on this or any other issue.

  4. I just put up a longish post about an astonishing debate that's going on right now between two climate scientists, a warmist and a skeptic.It's far too long to excerpt here, but targets Jimmy's comment on primary sources.

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